Title:

 The Day After: The Fallout From the Philippines Arbitration Case Against China

Author:

Lyle J. Morris

Source:

The National Interest

Date:

 June 30, 2016

Description:

What compels compliance with rulings based on international law? There are two camps that hold distinctly divergent views on the issue. Rationalists believe that nations choose to comply or not based on fear of punishment in the form of sanctions, international enforcement, or other material costs. Constructionists, on the other hand, believe that nations choose to comply with international law because they want to follow norms and existing rules of behavior, or fear the reputational costs of non-compliance.

Title:

 Trump vows to undo trade pacts

Author:

Reid J. Epstein and Colleen Mccain Nelson

Source:

Wall Street Journal

Date:

 June 29, 2016

Description:

Donald Trump pledged Tuesday to withdraw the US from global trade alliances, saying he would exit the North American Free Trade Agreement (Nafta)if it isn’t renegotiated, would label China a currency manipulator and would kill the Trans-Pacific Partnership, a Pacific Rim trade deal.
TAGS: ,

Title:

 China’s slowdown and Philippine growth (Part I)

Author:

Bernardo M. Villegas

Source:

Manila Bulletin

Date:

 June 19, 2016

Description:

Various economic sectors are worried that the ongoing slowdown of the Chinese economy may negatively impact on them. Add to this dampener on global economic growth of the very low oil prices. How will these global developments affect Philippine economic prospects as the Philippines moves to a new political era under the newly elected administration that will be in place by June 30, 2016.

Title:

 Duterte to speed up PH entry into AIIB

Author:

Ben O. de Vera

Source:

Philippine Daily Inquirer

Date:

 June 27, 2016

Description:

INCOMING Finance Secretary Carlos G. Dominguez said the Duterte administration will fast-track the Philippines’ membership in the China-led Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank (AIIB) to widen financing options in line with plans to ramp up infrastructure development.

Title:

 China’s slowdown and Philippine growth (Part II)

Author:

Bernardo M. Villegas

Source:

Manila Bulletin

Date:

 June 26, 2016

Description:

Another view that supports that China will not have a hard landing is presented by John Ross, senior fellow at Renmin University of China. He points out that the hard landings in recent times of the US (after 2007), Japan (after 1990) and Russia (after the introduction of capitalism in 1999) were driven by precipitous declines in investments. These investments were predominantly from the private sector. In China, the state sector remains the dominant player, despite diverse forms of ownership. The key role of the State was reaffirmed at the Third Plenum in 2013 and reiterated by Xi Jingping in 2016, while also emphasizing the side-by-side growth of the private sector. According to Mr. Ross, the state sector can be used by the government to raise investment to prevent a recession, and its dominant role does not arise from it being a majority of the economy. Rather this ability to manage the business cycle stems from its being large enough to impact investment and therefore GDP growth. For these reasons, it is highly probable thatChina will avoid a hard landing in the next five years or so.

Title:

 Why China is risking war with US

Author:

Mauro Gia Samonte

Source:

The Manila Times

Date:

 June 25, 2016

Description:

RELATED to the subject matter of my past two columns (on the PH-China dispute over the West Philippine Sea), this current discussion pursues the topic rather alarmingly. The former Intelligence Service of the Armed Forces of the Philippines (ISAFP) chief, Lt. Gen. Victor Corpus, has a way of calling my attention, through a post on Facebook, to a video richly detailed with US military maneuvers in the South China Sea beginning January this year. It was, of course, a post open for perusal by any visitor to his FB page, but coming as it did on the heels of my two pieces on the the Philippine case at the United Nations Permanent Court of Arbitration, I gave the video presentation more than a cursory glance.

Title:

 China cuts official contact with Taiwan over new president

Author:

AFP

Source:

Rappler

Date:

 June 25, 2016

Description:

BEIJING, China – China said Saturday that communications with Taiwan had been suspended after the island's new government failed to acknowledge the concept that there is only "one China".
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Title:

 Commentary: Philippine economy set to outpace China's

Author:

Emmanuel J. Lopez

Source:

The Philippine Star

Date:

 June 24, 2016

Description:

Economic authorities agree as of late on the inevitability of a slowdown in the economic activity of China. The prospect was seen from a decrease in the GDP growth rate from a double digit in earlier years to a single-digit growth the past couple of years. Recent reports stated that China had 6.8-percent GDP growth fueled by debt-driven investment spending. From 2011 to 2015, China has incurred an average of almost 7.9-percent GDP growth rate. This type of growth may be seen as a short-term relief to cushion the impact of a slowdown but the long-term repercussion may not entirely be a good prospect for the local Chinese economy not to include accelerated debt obligations.